Division of Moncrieff

For the Canberra suburb of Moncrieff, see Moncrieff, Australian Capital Territory.

Moncrieff Australian House of Representatives Division
Interactive map of boundaries
Created	1984
MP	Angie Bell
Party	Liberal National
Namesake	Gladys Moncrieff
Electors	122,636 (2022)
Area	100 km2 (38.6 sq mi)
Demographic	Provincial

The Division of Moncrieff is an Australian Electoral Division in Queensland.

Geography

Since 1984, federal electoral division boundaries in Australia have been determined at redistributions by a redistribution committee appointed by the Australian Electoral Commission. Redistributions occur for the boundaries of divisions in a particular state, and they occur every seven years, or sooner if a state's representation entitlement changes or when divisions of a state are malapportioned.

History

Gladys Moncrieff, the division's namesake

The division was created in 1984 and is named after Gladys Moncrieff, an Australian singer who resided in the Gold Coast.

Moncrieff is based on Surfers Paradise and the central portion of the Gold Coast. While the Gold Coast has always been a rather conservative area, Surfers Paradise is considered particularly conservative even by Gold Coast standards. As a result, Moncrieff has been a comfortably safe Liberal seat for its entire existence. Indeed, most of the area has been represented by centre-right MPs without interruption since 1906; the Surfers Paradise area was part of Moreton before 1949, and then part of McPherson from 1949 to 1984. The Liberals have never won less than 59 percent of the two-party vote, and from 1993 until 2019 have won enough primary votes to retain the seat without the need for preferences.

It is currently the ninth-safest Coalition seat in Australia and the third-safest for either side of politics in Queensland, with a 17-point swing needed for Labor to win it.

Although Labor to date has never won Moncrieff, it did win the primary vote in 1984 and 1987. This was due to the Liberal and National parties fielding candidates against each other and therefore splitting the anti-Labor primary vote. On both those occasions, however, the Liberals retained the seat after National preferences flowed overwhelmingly to them.

In 2022, sitting Liberal National MP Angie Bell was reelected with less than 50% of the primary vote, the first time that a non-Labor candidate has done so without the presence of a second major party non-Labor candidate.

Members

	Image	Member	Party	Term	Notes
		Kathy Sullivan (1942–)	Liberal	1 December 1984 – 8 October 2001	Previously a member of the Senate. Retired
		Steven Ciobo (1974–)		10 November 2001 – 19 July 2010	Served as minister under Turnbull and Morrison. Retired
			Liberal National	19 July 2010 – 11 April 2019
		Angie Bell (1968–)		18 May 2019 – present	Incumbent

Election results

Main article: Electoral results for the Division of Moncrieff

This section is an excerpt from Results of the 2022 Australian federal election in Queensland § Moncrieff.[edit]

2022 Australian federal election: Moncrieff

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal National	Angie Bell	45,104	45.94	−5.58
	Labor	Glen Palmer	20,430	20.81	−0.75
	Greens	April Broadbent	11,850	12.07	+2.39
	One Nation	Leeanne Schultz	6,981	7.11	+0.67
	United Australia	Diane Happ	5,482	5.58	+1.86
	Liberal Democrats	Diane Demetre	4,305	4.38	+2.42
	Animal Justice	Sonia Berry-Law	2,384	2.43	−1.43
	Informed Medical Options	Timothy Cudmore	997	1.02	+1.02
	Federation	James Tayler	645	0.66	+0.66
Total formal votes			98,178	94.22	+0.66
Informal votes			6,020	5.78	−0.66
Turnout			104,198	85.03	−3.17
Two-party-preferred result
	Liberal National	Angie Bell	60,080	61.19	−4.17
	Labor	Glen Palmer	38,098	38.81	+4.17
	Liberal National hold		Swing	−4.17

Alluvial diagram for preference flows in the seat of Moncrieff in the 2022 federal election. Y indicates at what stage the winning candidate had over 50% of the votes and was declared the winner.

Primary vote results in Moncrieff (Parties that did not get 5% of the vote are omitted)

  Liberal National/Liberal

  National

  Labor

  Greens

  Australian Democrats

  Family First

  One Nation

  Palmer United/United Australia Party

Two-candidate-preferred results in Moncrieff

External links

• Division of Moncrieff (Qld) — Australian Electoral Commission